The Winners and Losers of Tax Reform

By Phil Davidson, CFA - August 23, 2018

For all the talk about the U.S. tax reform that went into effect this year, you might have thought it was going to be a bottom-line bonanza for every American company. Not true.

Of course, corporations will gratefully accept every tax advantage they receive, but not all will benefit equally. In fact, my analysis indicates there will be pretty wide gaps between the winners and losers. Yes, even in the windfall of tax reform, there are going to be some relative losers.

Here’s the critical question, from where I sit: how much of the tax benefit will companies actually keep, and how much will they reinvest or “compete away” to maintain their market advantages? My team and I have spent a lot of time in recent months finding answers to that question, and here’s what we’ve concluded: a stock we considered overvalued last year would not land in the undervalued category today as a result of this tax reform.

There will be, however, some industries that stand to benefit more than others. Click on the video below to find out which ones we’re especially optimistic about.

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    The Winners and Losers of Tax Reform

    How much of the tax benefit is kept, reinvested, or “competed away” is critical in determining who will come out ahead.

      Investment return and principal value of security investments will fluctuate. The value at the time of redemption may be more or less than the original cost. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

      The opinions expressed are those of American Century Investments (or the portfolio manager) and are no guarantee of the future performance of any American Century Investments' portfolio. This material has been prepared for educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment, accounting, legal or tax advice.